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Kaldheim Championship Win Rates and Top Performing Decklists

March 28, 2021
Adam Styborski and Corbin Hosler

(Win rate data and analysis contributed by Frank Karsten.)

From over 200 players, both Standard and Historic picks at the Kaldheim Championship showed off both the "best decks" and new additions each format had to offer. The Top 8 is playing out now, and largely represents the fields.





In Standard, Sultai Ultimatum was the most popular deck entering the tournament, while Jund Sacrifice led the field in Historic, but players not on those decks came with a plan to defeat them. Were they successful? Here's what the numbers tell us.

Standard



Gruul Food, which is basically what you get when you start with Mono-Green Food and then splash for Bonecrusher Giant and Embercleave, had the best record overall: 11-5 (69%). The innovative archetype was played by Akio Matsuzaki,Kazuya Takuwa, Tetsushi Sawada, and Top 8 competitor Noriyuki Mori—a group of rising Japanese players who all brought the deck. And for the purists out there: It is a 61 card main deck.

Of the more popular archetypes, Temur Adventures posted the best performance. Combining the Edgewall Innkeeper core with Goldspan Dragon and Saw It Coming yields a powerful deck. At the Kaldheim Championship it seemed to have no bad matchups: It went 50-50 or better against everything in the field. Both Shahar Shenhar and Javier Dominguez piloted Temur Adventures to the Top 8.

Here's the complete breakdown of non-mirror match win rates for Standard archetypes at the Kaldheim Championship. (Win rates are from non-mirror, non-bye matches.)

Archetype Count Win Rate
Sultai Ultimatum 47 50.3%
Temur Adventures 37 57.4%
Mono-Red Aggro 35 50.3%
Cycling 22 44.0%
Dimir Rogues 17 52.8%
Mono-White Aggro 15 40.6%
Naya Tokens 8 43.6%
Gruul Adventures 7 59.3%
4C Doom Foretold 5 41.9%
Gruul Food 4 68.8%
Naya Fury 3 53.8%
Esper Doom Foretold 2 64.3%
Bant Adventures 2 33.3%
Sultai Control 2 16.7%
Rakdos Sacrifice 1 33.3%
Selesnya Adventures 1 33.3%
Four-color Gyruda 1 33.3%
Abzan Midrange 1 28.6%
Jeskai Mutate 1 0.0%

Historic



Of the decks with more than one player, Four-Color Midrange and Abzan Midrange had the best records overall. Abzan Midrange was brought by league players testing together, designed by Hall of Famer Gabriel Nassif and combined Yasharn, Implacable Earth and Binding the Old Gods into a Yorion shell that proved to be a successful way of attacking Jund Food specifically and the format in general.

The breakout deck of the weekend, Orzhov Auras, posted the best performance from decks with at least eight pilots, though it struggled with the popular Sacrifice decks in the tournament. And, speaking of the most popular deck, Jund Sacrifice itself was average as it went perfect even in non-mirror matches overall.

Here's the complete breakdown of non-mirror match win rates for Historic archetypes at the Kaldheim Championship. (Win rates are from non-mirror, non-bye matches.)

Archetype Count Win Rate
Jund Food 56 48.8%
Orzhov Auras 31 60.1%
Azorius Control 18 47.5%
Gruul Aggro 11 51.0%
Jund Company 10 55.0%
Abzan Midrange 8 63.4%
Bant Midrange 8 59.3%
Sultai Ultimatum 8 48.5%
Goblins 8 44.2%
Elves 6 48.6%
Boros Cycling 5 59.3%
Mono-Red Burn 5 10.5%
Five-color Niv-Mizzet 3 50.0%
Bant Angels 3 30.8%
Four-color Midrange 2 66.7%
Selesnya Company 2 58.3%
Temur Adventures 2 58.3%
Selesnya Aggro 2 27.3%
Neostorm 2 20.0%
Mono-Black Control 2 14.3%
Selesnya Midrange 2 0.0%
Dimir Control 1 75.0%
Golgari Midrange 1 62.5%
Bant Spirits 1 50.0%
Rakdos Sacrifice 1 50.0%
Orzhov Gift 1 50.0%
Rakdos Midrange 1 50.0%
Dimir Gift 1 37.5%
Rakdos Arcanist 1 37.5%
Selesnya Angels 1 33.3%
Nine Lives 1 25.0%
Simic Paradox Engine 1 25.0%
Paradox Engine 1 25.0%
Mono-Blue Tempo 1 0.0%
Enigmatic Incarnation 1 0.0%
Grixis Arcanist 1 0.0%
Kethis Combo 1 0.0%
Boros Burn 1 0.0%

Standard Decklists: X-1 or Better



Historic Decklists: X-1 or Better

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