Hello and welcome back to Metagame Mentor, your weekly guide to the top decks and latest Constructed developments on the path to the Pro Tour. After the recent ban of
Modern now features fewer cascade decks, while
The Modern Metagame Minus Violent Outburst
Modern is a nonrotating 60-card format that allows expansion sets, core sets, and straight-to-Modern sets from Eight Edition forward, with the exception of cards on the banned list. With over 20 years of card history, Modern features intricate card interactions and a vast array of viable strategies. On March 11, it was shaken up by the ban of
To grasp the state of post-ban Modern, I analyzed all published Magic Online decklists from March 12 through March 25, in addition to decklists from the 2024 Hunter Burton Memorial Open and the Grand Open Qualifier Prague. These enormous tabletop events awarded numerous Regional Championship invites.
The Grand Open Qualifier in Prague drew 563 competitors, awarding a prestigious trophy and thousands of dollars in prizes to the winner. After previously coming close with a Top 4 finish at the Grand Open Qualifier Barcelona in December 2023, Raul Avoscan established himself as one of the best Amulet Titan players in Europe, now with 2 cheeky
Congratulations Raul Avoscan for being our GOQ Champion with his deck Amulet Titan! 🏆
— Legacy European Tour 🔜 LMS Bologna (@LegacyEUTour) March 24, 2024
Can't wait to see you shine in the Naples!#LMSPrague pic.twitter.com/riwDrmuwXB
For each Modern decklist in my data set, I assigned an archetype label and awarded a number of points equal to its rectified number of net wins (i.e., its number of match wins minus losses if positive and zero otherwise). Each archetype's share of total rectified net wins can be interpreted as its share of the winner's metagame. In the following table, each archetype name hyperlinks to a well-performing decklist close to the aggregate of that archetype. Note that I've color-separated the archetype previously grouped as "Goryo's
Archetype | Winner's Metagame Share |
---|---|
1. Golgari Yawgmoth | 8.9% |
2. Domain Zoo | 7.8% |
3. Esper Goryo's | 7.5% ↑↑ |
4. Mono-Green Tron | 7.1% ↑↑ |
5. Amulet Titan | 7.0% |
6. Rakdos Grief | 5.8% |
7. Izzet Murktide | 4.6% |
8. Five-Color Creativity | 4.4% |
9. Domain Murktide | 4.0% ↑↑ |
10. Azorius Control | 3.5% |
11. Hardened Scales | 2.8% |
12. Four-Color Omnath | 2.7% |
13. Domain Rhinos | 2.7% ↓↓ |
14. Dimir Mill | 2.4% |
15. Mono-Black Coffers | 2.2% |
16. Hammer Time | 2.0% |
17. 8-Rack | 1.9% |
18. Merfolk | 1.4% |
19. Jund Reanimator | 1.3% |
20. Four-Color Goryo's | 1.2% |
21. Asmo Food | 1.1% |
22. Living End | 0.9% ↓↓ |
23. Other | 16.8% |
The "Other" category included such deck archetypes as Boros Burn, Mono-Black Grief, Temur Prowess, Domain Grief, Domain Goryo's, Orzhov Grief, Urza ThopterSword, Jeskai Breach, Mono-Blue Tron, Temur Murktide, Naya Scapeshift, Rakdos Reanimator, Grixis Shadow, Izzet Wizards, Twiddle Breach, Mono-White Martyr, Domain Omnath, Bring to Light, Asmo Reanimator, Gruul Valakut, Dimir Shadow, Domain Enchantress, Infect, Izzet Breach, Bant Rhinos, Domain Valakut, and more.
Compared to the metagame at the last six Regional Championships, which were held before the ban of
Over the past two weeks, the most important development was the proliferation of
Simultaneously, the metagame is reacting.
The New Face of Crashing Footfalls
After the ban of
The winner's metagame featured 0.2%
The New Face of Living End
Living End plummeted to a 0.9% share of the winner's metagame, and there was no clear consensus on how to best construct it after the ban. Some players swapped out
When you have
Leyline of the Guildpact in Domain Murktide
Although Domain Zoo is well established in Modern, numerous other archetypes have also started to slot in the rainbow package. The most prominent new approach, with a 4.0% share of the winner's metagame, was Domain Murktide. In my definition, this deck uses the shell of
With or without the titular card, the playstyle of this formidable new archetype features the best elements from both Domain Zoo and Izzet Murktide. Without
Leyline of the Guildpact in Domain Goryo's
The domain package is arguably the best thing you can be doing in Modern right now, and it goes beyond just Rhinos, Zoo, and Murktide. It can potentially fit everywhere.
Domain Goryo's showcases the possibilities. Although it was only 0.6% of the winner's metagame, Stainerson took this list to a 4-1 finish in a Modern
Leyline of the Guildpact in Domain Grief
Another option, also at 0.6% of the winner's metagame, is to combine the best of Domain Zoo and Rakdos
Besides the various Domain decks that I've highlighted thus far, smaller numbers of players have also been experimenting with Domain Omnath, Domain Enchantress, Domain Valakut, Domain Tron, Domain Yawgmoth, Domain Hammer, and so on. It's not clear if any of those brews will stand up to competitive scrutiny, but the possibilities are nearly endless. All in all, nearly one-fifth of the field over the past two weeks exploited
Peak Popularity For Pick Your Poison
Chaz Alexander, who won the Hunter Burton Memorial Open with Jund Reanimator, was one of the many players who added
As you might expect,
Taking the above Jund Reanimator list as an example once more,
In conclusion, Modern is brimming with diversity and innovation right now. The cascade strategies have diminished, while
The Road to Magic World Championship 30
Across Magic's rich history, the World Championship has always been the crown jewel oforganized play, and the upcoming 30th edition is one to celebrate. As we count down until MagicWorld Championship 30 starts at MagicCon: Las Vegas on October 25, 2024, we'll take a look at a great deck from a past World Championship each week. Last week, we reviewed the 1994 World Championship; this week, our stroll down memory lane takes us to 1995.
The 1995 Magic World Championship, based on the information from the old Duelist magazines, was held in Seattle on August 5–7, and it was the first World Championship that was invite-only. Featuring 71 competitors from 19 different countries, as Corbin Hosler will expound in tomorrow's The Week That Was, it marked Magic as a global phenomenon. It was also the first World Championship that used Swiss rounds and multiple formats: Day 1 was five rounds of Sealed Deck, Day 2 was five rounds of Type II, and Day 3 used the same Type II decks for a single-elimination Top 8 playoff.
Type II, which would later become known as Standard, was newly introduced in 1995 as a format that would only allow cards from the last several sets. It was developed with two ideas in mind: "First, the Magic environment should be ever-changing; seeing new cards appear and disappear from time to time... Second, by restricting the environment to only the most recent available cards, we hope to accommodate newer Magic players" (Duelist #4, p. 57). Inheriting banned and restricted lists from Type I, which would later become known as Vintage, Type II quickly became "the most popular tournament style" (Duelist #5, p. 64). At the time of the 1995 World Championship, it allowed cards from Fourth Edition, Fallen Empires, Ice Age, and Chronicles.
Using cards from these sets, Alexander Blumke from Switzerland emerged victorious with a strategy described as a "black/white/blue card denial deck" or a "black and white discard deck" (Duelist #7, p. 51–52). Like today, the most informative way to name a deck remains a point of contention. My approach is generally to include a color into a deck name if and only if there are at least two realistically-castable spells of that color in the main deck.
The deck that won the 1995 World Championship focused on a coherent discard theme. The dream start involved
Similar strategies are still finding success nearly 30 years later:
Another powerful combination in Blumke's deck was iconic for the time:
Blumke's deck had an adequate number of 25 lands. Early 1994 guidelines may have stated that "roughly a third of your total cards should be land" (Duelist #2, p. 16) but this had quickly progressed to a recommended land ratio of "at least forty percent" (Duelist #6, p. 44) by the time Blumke built his deck. This corresponds to 16 lands in a 40-card deck, 24 lands in a 60-card deck, or 40 lands in a 99-card deck, which remain suitable numbers today.
However, the number of colored sources was suspect: Four blue sources for
Blumke's list used an eyebrow-raising 63 cards, but that number was defensible. Deck builders at the time did understand that "for most decks, the proper deck size is the minimum allowable: sixty cards" (Duelist #6, p. 28) because "this will maximize your chances of drawing the cards that you want." Yet there was one exception, and it was applicable here: "when you have a legitimate chance of drawing more than sixty cards".
Indeed, Type II games in 1995 could take a while, as the answers outclassed the threats. Hence, decking the opponent was a legitimate path to victory. For example, Blumke's opponent in the finals, Marc Hernandez, used a creatureless 62-card deck with
To me, the most puzzling part of Blumke's decklist is that there are only three copies of
Another possible explanation is that Blumke's deck was a last-minute audible, constructed on the morning of the Type II rounds: "I didn't have a deck when I got here, so I stayed up late the night before making one. Then the next morning, I realized that what I made would not win, so I changed it right before the competition" (Duelist Companion #13, p. 1). If you have switched decks at the last minute, then it's reassuring to know that you're in good company, and you'll recognize the difficulty of perfecting the numbers when you're under a time scramble. More importantly for Blumke, the strategy he engineered came through for him when the pressure was on.
All in all, the 1995 World Championship cemented Magic as a international phenomenon, with the potential for a variety of formats to shine. This year's World Championship will certainly be different—for example, Swiss points are now given out for each match rather than for each game—but Magic World Championship 30 will surely be just as awesome. Save the date: October 25, 2024!