Hello, and welcome back to Metagame Mentor, your weekly guide to the top decks and latest Constructed developments on the path to the Pro Tour. This past weekend, 1,458 players competed across the Regional Championships for Australia/New Zealand and United States, all vying for one of 42 highly coveted Pro Tour invitations. In this article, I'll break down the evolving Modern metagame, highlight the standout decks that rose to the top, and explore several strategies for taking down Temur Breach.
Jesse Robkin Triumphs in Charlotte with Temur Breach
Congratulations to Jesse Robkin for capturing the title at the United States Regional Championship in Charlotte, North Carolina! Piloting the Temur Breach deck that she pioneered years ago, now supercharged by the return of
When Theros Beyond Death's
Her efforts paid off. A string of high finishes on the SCG and NRG circuits in 2022 cemented both the deck's viability and her mastery of it, and she helped popularize the archetype through her content. In a 2022 primer, she described the Breach deck as "an absolute blast to play for anyone who likes intricate and synergistic gameplay, drawing lots of cards, graveyard recursion ... and, most importantly, a Splinter Twin-style combo finish."
That same year, Corbin Hosler chronicled her journey in The Week That Was, ending with a prophetic quote from Robkin: "As for what's next? I guess the answer is pretty simple: I want to qualify for the Pro Tour."
Now, she has. Not to mention the fact she is now qualified for Magic World Championship 31.
Robkin, like all Top 32 unqualified players from the United States Regional Championship, secured an invitation to Pro Tour Magic: The Gathering®—FINAL FANTASY™, set to take place during MagicCon: Las Vegas in June 2025. Her long-awaited Pro Tour berth was especially meaningful given Temur Breach's recent evolution. In 2024, Modern Horizons 3 introduced
With that in mind, she made a last-minute trip to Charlotte, entered a Last Chance Qualifier on Friday, and won, securing her spot in the main event. From there, she put on a dominant performance at the Regional Championship, navigating through a stacked field and ultimately claiming the trophy.
In the finals, Robkin squared off against veteran player Corey Burkhart. A ten-time Grand Prix Top 8 competitor and the champion of the 2020 Players Tour, Burkhart had earned his spot in the Regional Championship via an RCQ at Inconceivable Toys & Games. He, too, was running Temur Breach—further proof of the deck's recent stranglehold on the format. Both finalists secured invitations to Magic World Championship 31, a standalone event in Bellevue, Washington, slated for December 5–7, 2025. Yet in the final showdown, it was Robkin who emerged victorious.
While both finalists ran Temur Breach, their builds had a few notable differences. Robkin opted for
Still, these distinctions were minor. The core of the deck remains rock-solid, and this weekend's results firmly entrench Temur Breach as the deck to beat in Modern.
Thomas Bot Triumphs in Sydney with Eldrazi Metalcraft
Congratulations to Thomas Bot, who claimed victory at the ANZ Super Series (the Regional Championship for Australia and New Zealand) with a spicy Eldrazi Metalcraft deck! His 1st-place finish secured a coveted spot at Magic World Championship 31, and the Top 10 finishers who weren't already qualified earned invitations to Pro Tour Magic: The Gathering—FINAL FANTASY.
While most Eldrazi players leaned on a red-green build with
Bot, who qualified on Magic Online, built his deck with a clear goal in mind. "I wanted to beat up Breach decks and abuse fast mana in the form of
One of the deck's defining features is its four copies of
Beyond Chalice, Eldrazi Metalcraft boasts even more tools against the format's top deck.
At the Regional Championship, Bot and Harris went a combined 6-0 against Temur Breach, proving that Eldrazi Metalcraft might be the perfect answer to the current Modern metagame.
The Modern Metagame and Win Rates
Modern is a nonrotating 60-card format that encompasses cards from expansion sets, core sets, and straight-to-Modern sets from Eighth Edition onward, except for those on the banned list. The next banned and restricted announcement is scheduled for March 31, 2025.
A total of 1,458 decklists were submitted across both Regional Championships. After standardizing archetype names and resolving discrepancies, I compiled the overall metagame share and match win rates for each deck archetype (excluding mirror matches, byes, and draws) based on Swiss rounds. These metrics are provided in the table below, with each archetype name linking to a top-performing decklist that best represents its aggregate build.
Archetype | Percentage of Field | Match Win Rate |
---|---|---|
1. Temur Breach | 22.6% ↑↑ | 55.7% ✓✓ |
2. Orzhov Blink | 15.4% | 49.5% |
3. Eldrazi Ramp | 12.1% | 47.0% |
4. Boros Energy | 9.3% ↓↓ | 49.4% |
5. Amulet Titan | 7.1% | 53.2% |
6. Domain Zoo | 3.7% | 51.5% |
7. Dimir Murktide | 2.0% | 54.2% |
8. Dimir Mill | 1.5% | 47.0% |
9. Jeskai Energy | 1.4% | 45.6% |
10. Orzhov Necro | 1.4% | 50.6% |
11. Azorius Chant | 1.3% | 49.3% |
12. Tameshi Belcher | 1.3% | 50.9% |
13. Ruby Storm | 1.1% | 53.7% |
14. Hollow One | 1.1% | 56.5% |
15. Esper Oculus | 1.0% | 47.7% |
16. Other | 17.7% | 42.4% |
The "Other" category encompassed a wide range of archetypes such as Four-Color Breach, Merfolk, Eldrazi Tron, Azorius Affinity, Samwise Gamgee Combo, Esper Murktide, Golgari Yawgmoth, Esper Blink, Jeskai Dress Down, Esper Goryo's, Hammer Time, Mono-Black Necro, Jeskai Chant, Eldrazi Breach, Eldrazi Aggro, Dimir Oculus, Humans, Rakdos Shadow, Rakdos Burn, Jeskai Breach, Eldrazi Metalcraft, Izzet Breach, Four-Color Omnath, and more.
Compared to the metagame from the previous Aetherdrift-fueled Regional Championships, last weekend's events saw Temur Breach surge even further ahead, while the popularity of Boros Energy dwindled.
In performance, Temur Breach posted a 55.7% non-mirror win rate—down slightly from previous Regional Championships but still significantly above 50%. Despite the field preparing for it, the deck remains a dominant force.
For all other archetypes, given their sample sizes and results, no statistically significant conclusions about win rates could be drawn. However, despite its small sample size, Hollow One's 56.5% win rate stands out. Multiple players earned Pro Tour qualifications with the deck, suggesting that
While Temur Breach continues to dominate, there are several ways to defeat it or to improve your matchup. In the remainder of this article, let's explore the various approaches for doing so.
Strategy 1: Play a Deck That Beats Temur Breach
Finding a deck that consistently beats Temur Breach is no easy task, but it's not impossible. As mentioned earlier, Thomas Bot's innovative Eldrazi Metalcraft deck stole the spotlight at the Regional Championship for Australia and New Zealand, with its two pilots going a combined 6-0 against Temur Breach.
Other archetypes also posted strong results against Temur Breach, making them viable choices in a Breach-heavy metagame.
Orzhov Necro is a relatively new addition to Modern, capitalizing on Aetherdrift's
Robert Hayes piloted the list above—trimming
Its success stems from the fact that many of the deck's synergy pieces double as hate cards against Temur Breach. Since Ketramose triggers when an opponent's cards are exiled,
Across both Regional Championships, Dimir Mill went 23-19 against Temur Breach (55% win rate). That's not as impressive as Eldrazi Metalcraft or Orzhov Necro but still promising. Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings's champion, Jake Beardsley, for example, finished 11-3-1 for 26th place.
The deck's goal is simple: deplete the opponent's library as quickly as possible. Against Temur Breach,
However, it can be risky to fire off mill spells against a deck whose namesake card uses the graveyard as a resource. Unless you can win immediately, targeting yourself with
Only three players brought Rakdos Shadow to their Regional Championship, with Alex Wendling's 7-5 result as the best finish, but they collectively went 7-0 against Temur Breach. While the sample size is small, it's a result worth noting.
The classic way to beat combo decks is to pair disruption with a fast clock, and Rakdos Shadow does exactly that.
Strategy 2: Have Temur Breach Answers in Your Main Deck
Many of the decks I've discussed so far boast favorable matchups against Temur Breach thanks to their ability to incorporate disruption pieces that complement their core game plans. For example, Orzhov Necro takes advantage of
This principle holds true for other archetypes as well. For instance, Domain Zoo decks now regularly feature
With just a few tweaks like these, nearly any deck can enhance its matchup against Temur Breach and become more competitive in the current Modern metagame.
Strategy 3: Bring The Right Sideboard Plan
As Temur Breach continues to dominate the metagame, dedicating a significant portion of your sideboard to combating it is essential, no matter what deck you're piloting. Fortunately, there are numerous tools at your disposal.
However, these answers are not foolproof, and more dedicated anti-combo cards can be unreliable. Temur Breach not only boards in answers versus your hate pieces but also is capable of pivoting into a grindy, midrange strategy when necessary. With access to
So, Temur Breach is not just a one-dimensional, all-in combo deck, especially post-sideboard. To beat it, you need more than a few hate cards—you need a plan that can win on fair terms. This must be reflected in your sideboard plans. You should sideboard with their post-board configuration in mind, not just their pre-board combo-heavy deck. For instance, while
Strategy 4: Leverage the Power of Surprise
Breach may be the deck to beat, but the Modern format is far from one-dimensional. With over 20 years of some of Magic's most powerful cards on the table, Modern is rich with possibilities, and there's always room to surprise your opponents. If you bring a spicy deck they've never seen before, they may struggle to figure out how to approach it, giving you a crucial edge. Even if your deck doesn't have a proven track record against Temur Breach in dedicated testing, in a tournament setting, your opponent will have to adjust to your strategy on the fly—and that can be a significant advantage.
For example, Allison Coleman took the unexpected route at the United States Regional Championship, combining the power of Temur Rhinos and the iconic Splinter Twin combo.
Only two players brought Splinter Twin for Regional Championships this past weekend, but Coleman's innovative build netted an impressive 10-5 record. The Twin combo blends seamlessly into a Rhinos shell because
This marks the best performance of a Splinter Twin deck at the Regional Championships to date. For those nostalgic for the card, it's a thrilling sight to see.
What's Next for Modern?
The coming weekend promises a whirlwind of Modern action, with the final three Regional Championships of the cycle taking place for South America, Southeast Asia, and Mexico/Central America/Caribbean. In addition, the Magic Spotlight: Modern event in Utrecht set to take center stage.
This weekend's Magic Spotlight: Modern takes place in Utrecht, one of my favorite cities in the Netherlands.
— Frank Karsten (@karsten_frank) March 10, 2025
If you’re in town, don’t miss the Oudegracht—a scenic canal lined with unique wharf cellars, a variety of restaurants, and great game stores! #SpotlightModern pic.twitter.com/sKZNditeow
Magic Spotlight events are three-day celebrations that offer a direct route to the Pro Tour. Beside a variety of side events, artist offerings, and plenty of excitement, each installment features a flagship two-day open tournament, which awards Pro Tour invitations to the Top 8 players. With a $50,000 prize pool and exclusive promos, it brings the high-stakes energy reminiscent of the old Grand Prix events while incorporating a unique thematic flair.
Fitting with the theme at Magic Spotlight: Modern, the champion will walk away with two Draft Booster display cases of Modern Horizons 2 and two Play Booster display cases of Modern Horizons 3, adding up to 24 display boxes in total. For any Modern enthusiast, that's an awesome prize worth competing for, in addition to the $10,000 prize for 1st place.
Can't make it to Utrecht? No worries—high-quality live coverage will bring all the action right to your screen! On Day One, expect the feature matches to steer clear of Temur Breach mirror matches, instead showcasing the diverse and unique stuff going on in the Modern format.
Meet your Spotlight Series Utrecht coverage team!
— Magic tournaments by Fanfinity (@fanfinity_mtg) March 10, 2025
🎙️@Huschenmtg
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🎙️ @MartinJuza
🎙️ @filipamtg
🔢 @karstenfrank
🎤 @lizekorpershoek
Join the Spotlight Series live stream all weekend long:
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