Editor's Note: The dates for the Mexico, Central America, and Caribbean Regional Championship taking place in early 2024 has been corrected.
Hello, and welcome back to Metagame Mentor, your weekly guide to the top decks and latest Constructed developments on the path to the Pro Tour. Following a thrilling cycle of Modern Regional Championship Qualifiers in 2023, the corresponding championships are kicking off this weekend! The largest Regional Championships will feature up to 18 rounds of Modern competition before a winner is crowned, allowing archetype experts and format specialists to rise to the top.
The Modern Regional Championship schedule is split across four weekends:
- January 27–28: Europe, Middle East, and Africa & Brazil.
- February 10–11: United States and Canada and Japan and South Korea.
- March 1–3: Mexico, Central America, and Caribbean.
- March 9–10: Australia and New Zealand and China and South East Asia and Chinese Taipei and South America.
With invitations to Pro Tour Thunder Junction and World Championship 30 on the line, as well as promo cards and monetary prizes ($100,000 in Europe and $130,000 in the U.S.A.), these Regional Championships are important events. The championships on February 10–11 will also be one of the first times to see Murders at Karlov Manor cards in action, as the new set becomes immediately Modern-legal following its prerelease weekend on February 3–4. With fierce competition featuring some of the best Modern players in each region, this cycle of Regional Championships is bound to be an exciting one!
In the remainder of this article, we'll take a closer look at the top 20 decks in Modern right now, getting you up to speed on the state of the post-ban format going into the Regional Championships.
The Modern Metagame in January 2024
Modern is a nonrotating 60-card format that was introduced in 2011 and has captured the hearts of Magic: The Gathering players worldwide ever since. It allows expansion sets, core sets, and straight-to-Modern sets from Eight Edition forward, with the exception of cards on the banned list. With over 20 years of card history, Modern has a deeper card pool than Standard or Pioneer, featuring intricate card interactions and a vast array of viable strategies.
Since the number of published Magic Online decklists has ramped up recently, I was able to analyze an enormous stack of nearly 5,000 Modern decklists from the first three weeks of January. Specifically, I used all published Magic Online decklists from January 1 through January 22, in addition to published decklists from the $20K RCQ and $10K RCQ at SCG CON Cincinnati, the Super Qualifier at F2F Toronto, the Magic Online Champions Showcase, and the Modern event at the Dutch Open Series.
To obtain a metric that combines popularity and performance, I awarded points to each deck equal to its rectified number of net wins (i.e., its number of match wins minus losses if positive and zero otherwise). So, a deck that went 6-1 gets 5 points, and a deck that went 1-3-drop gets 0 points. Each archetype's share of total rectified net wins can then be interpreted as its share of the winner's metagame that you can expect to see at the top tables.
Archetype | Winner's Metagame Share |
---|---|
1. Rakdos Grief | 15.3% |
2. Golgari Yawgmoth | 13.8% |
3. Temur Rhinos | 12.4% |
4. Izzet Murktide | 9.4% |
5. Amulet Titan | 7.6% |
6. Living End | 4.6% |
7. Hardened Scales | 3.9% |
8. Four-Color Omnath | 2.9% |
9. Mono-Black Coffers | 2.5% |
10. Azorius Control | 1.9% |
11. Asmo Food | 1.8% |
12. Five-Color Creativity | 1.7% |
13. Domain Zoo | 1.7% |
14. Hammer Time | 1.7% |
15. Boros Burn | 1.6% |
16. Merfolk | 1.5% |
17. Mono-Green Tron | 1.4% |
18. Dimir Mill | 0.9% |
19. Grixis Wizards | 0.7% |
20. Jund Sagavan | 0.7% |
21. Other | 12.1% |
In this table, each archetype name hyperlinks to a well-performing, representative decklist. The "Other" category included Temur Prowess, Orzhov Grief, 8-Rack, Goryo's Blink, Izzet Wizards, Azorius Martyr, Dimir Shadow, Heliod Ballista, Grixis Murktide, Four-Color Control, Temur Murktide, Twiddle Breach, Esper Control, Mono-Black Grief, Dimir Control, Gruul Sagavan, Four-Color Rhinos, Jeskai Breach, and various other decks. The number of competitively viable Modern archetypes remains enormous, and you can basically play any style of deck you want. Since Modern rewards deep format knowledge and experience, a skilled player who is well-versed in their deck's interactions and matchup strategies can win with almost everything.
The format was recently shaken up by the December 4 banning of
Based mostly on Magic Online events in the first weeks of January, the top four decks (Rakdos Grief, Golgari Yawmogth, Temur Rhinos, and Izzet Murktide) comprise over 50% of the top-table field. These decks have tuned their card choices and sideboards for the metagame; and as a result, the head-to-head matchups between these four decks are all close to 50-50. Typically, playing skill and matchup experience is the real difference-maker. I look forward to seeing what will happen when top competitors at the Regional Championship get to test their mettle and try to attack this metagame.
The defining staples of the format (specifically, the most-played cards across all main decks and sideboards) were
The Top 20 Modern Decks to Defeat
To take a closer look at the top 20 archetypes with the highest winner's metagame share, I've used a decklist aggregation algorithm that considers the popularity and performance of individual card choices.
Rakdos Grief was the dominant Modern deck of 2023, and it will be interesting to see how things develop in 2024. The deck won Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings in July and subsequently dominated the Modern RCQ cycle, clinching 27.5% of the winner's metagame in November. Although it no longer has access to
Ideally, you evoke
Rakdos Grief's interactive shell, headlined by
A returned
Golgari Yawgmoth, with a 13.8% share of the winner's metagame, combines undying creatures and
When playing against Yawgmoth, it's important to be aware of its potential for infinite loops. One such loop can be achieved with
Temur Rhinos, with a 12.4% share of the winner's metagame, has a straightforward game plan: cast
Izzet Murktide, with a 9.4% share of the winner's metagame, is a powerful archetype that combines cheap cantrips, efficient interaction, and powerful threats. The card advantage and velocity provided by
When playing against Izzet Murktide, it's important to keep in mind that they run a lot of permission spells. If your opponent is keeping two mana open, then consider testing the waters with a medium threat first if you don't want your best card to meet a
Amulet Titan, with a 7.6% share of the winner's metagame, is an intricate ramp deck that exploits the synergy between
The year 2023 was good to Amulet Titan, as it gained
When playing against
Four-Color Omnath uses the namesake card
Following the ban of
Mono-Black Coffers uses
When playing against Mono-Black Coffers, remember that they have
Azorius Control includes all the hallmarks of a traditional control deck: spot removal, countermagic, card draw, sweepers, and planeswalkers. Since most versions already use
Regardless of their exact card choices, if your opponent reveals
Asmo Food revolves around
When playing against this particular build of the deck, you should recognize that they have quite a bit of direct damage. The combination of
Five-Color Creativity is a combo deck that aims to put
When playing against
Domain Zoo is a disruptive aggro deck that uses Triomes to power up
When playing against Domain Zoo, it can be useful to know that
Hammer Time treats the metagame like a nail. With the help of
When playing against this deck, it's important to be aware of the interaction between
Burn has been a staple of the Modern format since its inception, preying on painful fetch-shock mana bases. The goal is to unleash a flurry of direct damage as quickly as possible, with an ideal opening hand featuring a turn one
When playing against Burn, be mindful of your life total. Think twice before you pay 2 life for shock lands and try to bolster your life total by exiling your own creatures with
Merfolk is an archetype that has been around since the inception of the game, as the original
Most Merfolk players have adopted
Mono-Green Tron is a ramp deck centered around
When playing against Mono-Green Tron, remember that
Dimir Mill has the straightforward game plan of depleting the opponent's library as quickly as possible. When you control both
When playing against this deck, make sure not to walk into
Grixis Wizards is a relatively new archetype centered around
A portmanteau of
When playing against Jund Sagavan, don't cast
Looking Ahead
Archetype experts and Modern specialists will have an exciting opportunity to prove their skills at the upcoming cycle of Regional Championships, and I can't wait to analyze the results of these tournaments. Regional Championships will use open decklists, and you can follow the action of this weekend's Regional Championships in Europe and Brazil on their hyperlinked Melee pages. We'll also publish event updates on our Twitter account during the weekend and on our Events page in the week after.
We are excited to announce that @filipamtg and @TheWillHallExp, who have been with us since Round1, will be among the official casters of the #LecGhent #RegionalChampionship!
— Legacy European Tour 🔜 LEC Ghent (@LegacyEUTour) December 18, 2023
🗓️26-28 January
Don't miss the live stream and find out who is going to be the next regional champion🏆 pic.twitter.com/5ecrgRgltc
The European Championship will be streamed live on the LegacyEuropeanTour channel, with expert commentary by Will Hall, Filipa Carola, Martin Jůza, and Filip Skórnicki. Coverage starts at 3 a.m. ET / 9 a.m. CET / 5 p.m. JST both days, showing off the first of many high-level competitive Magic offerings in 2024.