We've spent the last few weeks eagerly anticipating the professional debut of MTG Arena's Historic format in Magic esports. With 14 rounds of Historic play behind, and the Top 8 is ahead, we've learned a thing or two about the format at the 2020 Mythic Invitational.
Thanks to Magic Hall of Famer Frank Karsten, we have the numbers we need to make sense of it all.
At the start, all eyes were on the third of players choosing to play a Goblins deck.
A 51% win rate just barely cracked the top five.
Jund Sacrifice put the most pilots into the Top 8, but it was actually Luis Salvatto's Rakdos Arcanist list that was the top archetype of the tournament. Three of the deck's five pilots made Day Two, and Salvatto cruised comfortably to the top seed.
That said, the
Where there's winners, there's also losers. It's clear that for the Mythic Invitational that Rakdos Goblins was a bad choice.
Dedicated control decks struggled too. Bant Control won just 43% of its matches, and Azorius Control fared even worse by failing to make Day Two at all. The only control player to make Day Two was Xuankai Huang, who finished 31st with Bant Control.
Combo is an interesting wrinkle. There weren't many dedicated combo decks overall but Mono-Black
What at first glance seems like a gimmick—filling the graveyard to activate
The 46% win rate for the "other" category is worth noting. Taken as a group, that's a better performance than several of the most popular archetypes, a rarity at this level of competition. It's a sign of a format still finding its way, and players like Christopher Leonard—he finished 11th with Mono-Green Planeswalkers, earning his way to the 2020 Season Grand Finals—were able to take advantage of it.
Only one champion, and one deck, will earn the first Historic title at the 2020 Mythic Invitational—and the world will be watching to see what happens next for the format.