Hello and welcome back to Metagame Mentor, your weekly guide to the top decks and latest Constructed developments on the path to the Pro Tour. As Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings approaches, we have plenty to cover! Today's article covers the two Regional Championships from last weekend, held in Athens and Taipei City.
After celebrating the champions, who earned their trophies by displaying their prowess in the Pioneer format, I'll provide the combined metagame breakdown and match win rates for all major archetypes, followed by an overview of the most notable Pioneer developments, including spicy lists that earned a Pro Tour qualification. Overall, it was a major victory for players who put in the work to master their very own decks.
Top players from these Regional Championships earned invitations to Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings, which will be held during MagicCon: Barcelona on July 28–30. This will be an exciting event, but you don't have to be qualified for the Pro Tour to enjoy it. There's something for everyone—awesome cosplay, incredible artists, fascinating panels, direct Pro Tour Qualifiers, the Secret Lair Showdown, and more. The event celebrates all things Magic: The Gathering, and tickets are on sale!
Congratulations to Two Regional Champions!
Congratulations @vuono_federico for being our Third European Champion with his deck Boros Convoke! 🏆
— Legacy European Tour 🔜 LMS Bologna (@LegacyEUTour) June 11, 2023
Can't wait to see you shine in the World Championship!#LECAthens pic.twitter.com/IBjiMQvfLY
Federico Vuono won the Legacy European Championship (i.e., the Regional Championship for Europe/Middle East/Africa) with a Boros Convoke deck, defeating Przemyslaw Olszewski, playing Azorius Spirits, in the finals. Both finalists earned an invitation to World Championship XXIX, and the top 36 players who were not yet qualified for Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings earned an invitation to that event.
"I wanna make my opponent think more than me," Federico Vuono said about his deck choice. "
With his victory, the newly crowned European Champion from Florence, Italy confirms Boros Convoke as a serious contender in Pioneer. The card choices and sideboard strategies of this relatively new archetype are getting more and more optimized. Vuono's choice to play
Sweepers like
Congratulations to Hungyi Yu, who emerged victorious at the MIT Championship with Azorius Lotus Field! 🎉
— PlayMTG (@PlayMTG) June 11, 2023
See you at the Pro Tour and the World Championship! pic.twitter.com/bGscWTBnDD
Over in Taipei City, Hungyi Yu won the MIT Championship (i.e., the Regional Championship for Chinese Taipei) with an Azorius Lotus Field deck, earning an invitation to World Championship XXIX. In addition, the top 4 players earned an invite to Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings.
Hungyi Yu was inspired by Patrick Wu's second-place finish at Toronto's F2F Tour Championship last weekend. There, Patrick Wu unveiled his build of Azorius Lotus Field, called it Tier 0, and Hungyi Yu took note. He brought essentially the same list with very few changes and didn't lose a single match. In Barcelona, where top players from each region will gather to compete at the Pro Tour, Hungyi Yu may thank Patrick Wu in person.
Like last weekend, Azorius Lotus Field had one of the best win rates across the board, and this novel archetype seems poised to rise in popularity in the coming weeks. The deck's game plan revolves around combining Lotus Field with either
The Metagame and Win Rates
In total, 520 decklists were submitted across the two Regional Championships. Using these decklists and the round-by-round results, I determined the combined metagame share and the match win rates (non-mirror, non-bye, non-draw) of every archetype.
Archetype | Percentage of Field | Match Win Rate |
---|---|---|
1. Rakdos Midrange | 16.7% ↓↓ | 47.1% |
2. Mono-Green Devotion | 11.3% | 48.2% |
3. Mono-White Humans | 7.1% | 50.2% |
4. Enigmatic Fires | 7.1% ↑↑ | 49.3% |
5. Izzet Creativity | 7.1% | 48.2% |
6. Azorius Control | 6.5% | 56.8% ✓✓ |
7. Rakdos Sacrifice | 5.8% ↑↑ | 54.1% |
8. Azorius Spirits | 4.8% | 53.8% |
9. Abzan Greasefang | 4.4% | 43.8% |
10. Lotus Field Combo | 4.0% | 48.0% |
11. Izzet Phoenix | 3.7% ↑↑ | 52.4% |
12. Boros Convoke | 3.3% | 55.6% |
13. Omnath to Light | 2.7% | 53.2% |
14. Gruul Vehicles | 2.3% | 45.3% |
15. Azorius Lotus Field | 1.2% | 56.4% |
16. Dimir Rogues | 1.2% | 51.1% |
17. Selesnya Angels | 1.0% | 51.1% |
18. Dimir Control | 1.0% | 42.1% |
19. Jund Transmogrify | 0.8% | 50.0% |
20. Neoform Atraxa | 0.8% | 52.5% |
21. Other | 7.3% | 48.7% |
Above, each archetype name hyperlinks to a well-performing decklist close to the aggregate of that archetype. The "other" category, continuing the descending order, includes less represented decks such as Mono-Red Aggro, Mono-Black Midrange, Atarka Red, Elves, Mono-Blue Spirits, Grixis Transmogrify, Orzhov Humans, Rona Combo, Selesnya Auras, Esper Control, Five-Color Transmogrify, Izzet Control, Selesnya Company, Grinning Ignus Combo, Waste Not, Esper Greasefang, Golgari Midrange, Boros Humans, Dimir Flash, Mono-Blue Mill, Niv to Light, Elementals, Jund Citadel, Jeskai Ascendancy Combo, Storm Herald Combo, Grixis Midrange, Soulflayer, and more.
The overall distribution of decks was similar to the preceding weekend, although there was a downtick in Rakdos Midrange and a notable rise in Enigmatic Fires, Rakdos Sacrifice, and Izzet Phoenix. In particular, Rakdos Sacrifice retained its excellent win rate that it previously demonstrated at the U.S. Regional Championship, and the archetype carried Christoffer Larsen and Lorenzo Terlizzi into the Top 8 of the European Championship. On Magic Online, Logan Nettles followed up his 38th-place finish at the U.S. Regional Championship with a first-place and second-place finish in the weekend Challenges, leveraging his experience with Rakdos Sacrifice. All in all,
For almost all archetypes, their win rates against the field were close to 50% last weekend, which is the sign of a balanced metagame. Due to the relatively small sample size, the differences between the observed win rates could very well be due to natural variation, and no strong conclusions can be drawn. The only exception is Azorius Control. The archetype went 159-121 in its matchups, and it would be unlikely (<2%) to see a result at least as good as this when the archetype's true win rate would be merely 50%.
Now that I have given proper praise to Boros Convoke, Azorius Lotus Field, Rakdos Sacrifice, and Azorius Control, let take a look at other big deck-related innovations, lessons, and developments to come out of this second Regional Championship weekend of the cycle.
New Versions of Izzet Spells with Demilich or Crackling Drake
The blue-red core of
For a long time, decks with
And some things that should not have been forgotten were lost. Historically impactful delve spells became legendary Creativity targets. Legends became mythical Gearhulks. And for two and a half uneventful months, the power of
Nils Gutiérrez von Porat is a man who knows his birds. In his Top 8 profile for the European Championship, he wrote "I'm the creator of Izzet Phoenix" and he has a reasonable claim to that. He already built a Phoenix deck during the Guilds of Ravnica preview season, won a Pro Tour Qualifier with the deck two weeks after the set was legal, and then played the archetype at Pro Tours Guilds of Ravnica in 2018 and at Mythic Championship II in 2019—the first Pro Tour-level Modern event since the release of
Yet the version he brought to the European Championship, where he finished first after the Swiss, was something unique. Instead of
The downside of
Izzet Phoenix builds without
The other
Several cards stand out in Bullwinkle's build. Notably, there are four copies of
Even though there is no consensus among Izzet players on the creature base or exact card choices, last weekend's results highlight the formidable power of the blue-red spell core. When you start a Pioneer deck with
Keruga Fires is on the Rise
Enigmatic Fires rose to 7.1% of the metagame last weekend, and Matthieu Avignon took the deck to a 29th-place finish at the European Championship, earning a Pro Tour invite. His list has a few quirks (such as the use of
Decks based around
The new development is the rise of builds with
In the first Regional Championship weekend, 70 players (out of nearly 2000 in total) registered a deck with
Last weekend, 37 players (out of 520 in total) registered a deck with
Archetype Experts Found Success
I've said before that deck familiarity is a significant success factor in Pioneer. Mastering your preferred deck and learning all its matchups inside-out is usually better long-term than changing decks every week. At the European Championships, two players proved that with a Top 16 finish.
At last year's Pioneer European Championship, Marc Tobiasch shocked the competition by finishing 21st with a never-before-seen
The deck's gameplan is to return
At Pro Tour Phyrexia, Lukas Honnay was one of the players to unveil a new take on
Since then, Omnath to Light has turned into a substantial part of the Pioneer metagame, good for 2.7% last weekend.
The corresponding Pro Tour qualification was particularly important for him because Honnay had not yet qualified for Pro Tour The Lord of the Rings, despite having scored 36 adjusted match points over the past two Pro Tours. This system, which rewards players with consistently high finishes over the previous three rolling Pro Tours, means that Honnay will clinch an automatic invite for the first Pro Tour of the 2023-24 season if he merely goes 4-4 in Barcelona, and a solid finish in Barcelona would also put him in a prime position to earn a leaderboard qualification for World Championship XXIX. If Honnay becomes a mainstay at Pro Tours and/or World Championships, then be on the lookout for his signature Omnath to Light deck, then that was partly driven by his success in Athens, carried by his signature Omnath to Light deck.
Looking Ahead
Overall, last weekend was a big win for archetype experts who invested the time in mastering their deck. Like in Modern, a skilled Pioneer player who is well-versed in their deck's interactions and matchup strategies can win with almost everything.
The schedule for the remaining Regional Championships in this third cycle is as follows:
- June 17–18: West Canada. There will be live coverage on the FaceToFaceGames channel on Sunday only, starting at 11 a.m. PT / 2 p.m. ET / 8 p.m. CET.
- June 24-25: Japan/South Korea and Australia/New Zealand. The Japan/South Korea RC will be streamed live, with commentary in Japanese, on the MTGJP channel.
- July 1-2: Brazil and South America.
Coverage returns this Sunday! Tune in for the latest Pioneer action! @niphette @InsayneHayne#MTG #F2FYEG #Pioneer #WOTC #LOTR pic.twitter.com/zIQ42LOMHT
— Face to Face Games (@FaceToFaceGames) June 12, 2023