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The Win Rates and Best Decks of the Strixhaven Championship

June 06, 2021
Adam Styborski

(Win rate data and analysis contributed by Frank Karsten.)

250 players brought decks at the Strixhaven Championship, showing off both the best decks of a balanced Standard and Historic Anthology 5 fueled Historic. The Top 8 is playing out now, and tells the story of the rise of blue-red and a dominant color duo.





In Standard, Sultai Ultimatum was the most popular deck entering the tournament, while Jund Sacrifice led the field in Historic, but players not on those decks came with a plan to defeat them. Were they successful? Here's what the numbers tell us.

Standard



The surprise rise of Jeskai Mutate, played by a range of players including a duo in the Top 8 (Matti Kuisma and David Inglis) carried an impressive 60% win rate for the metagame, but the real story is how even Standard is overall. There's no "one best deck" in Standard, and among popular decks they each performed similarly.

Here's the complete breakdown of non-mirror match win rates for Standard archetypes at the Strixhaven Championship. (Win rates are from non-mirror, non-bye matches.)

Archetype Count Win Rate
Sultai Ultimatum 53 47.4%
Izzet Dragons 41 52.3%
Naya Adventures 23 53.4%
Gruul Adventures 17 52.2%
Cycling 17 48.8%
Dimir Rogues 17 47.9%
Mono-White Aggro 16 45.1%
Mono-Red Aggro 16 41.6%
Jeskai Mutate 15 60.7%
Temur Adventures 9 58.0%
Mardu Sacrifice 4 50.0%
Mono-Green Aggro 3 50.0%
Boros Winota 3 40.0%
Dimir Control 3 28.6%
Sultai Control 3 27.3%
Sultai Titans' Nest 2 66.7%
Four-Color Blink 2 62.5%
Rakdos Sacrifice 2 50.0%
Azorius Blink 2 43.8%
Rakdos Midrange 1 0.0%
Naya Fury 1 0.0%

Historic



It's another story in Historic though. Two decks share the top picks to play for the weekend, and Jeskai Turns put on a dominant performance with a 60% non-mirror win rate overall. Between the addition of Nezahal, Primal Tide by some and how new Historic was headed into the weekend, it helps propel five players into the Top 8: Logan Nettles, John Girardot, Raphael Lévy, Matt Sperling, and Sam Pardee.

Decks playing Brainstorm featured a win rate of 57% against decks without the card. With Expressive Iteration and Faithless Looting along for the ride as well it's clear blue and red were the best colors to play in Historic all around.

Archetype Count Win Rate
Izzet Phoenix 88 52.2%
Jeskai Turns 45 60.7%
Jeskai Control 24 55.0%
Jund Food 18 38.6%
Mono-Black Aggro 13 44.3%
Selesnya Company 12 46.2%
Gruul Aggro 11 30.8%
Five-color Niv-Mizzet 5 54.8%
Azorius Auras 4 50.0%
Dragonstorm 4 45.0%
Mono-Red Aggro 2 57.1%
Grixis Control 2 50.0%
Elves 2 50.0%
Dimir Pact 2 50.0%
Boros Midrange 2 16.7%
Dimir Rogues 2 16.7%
Temur Marvel 1 71.4%
Temur Ramp 1 71.4%
Dimir Control 1 57.1%
Orzhov Auras 1 33.3%
Boros Magecraft 1 33.3%
Colorless Ramp 1 33.3%
Atarka Red 1 33.3%
Neostorm 1 33.3%
Azorius Control 1 33.3%
Orzhov Shadow 1 28.6%
Temur Turns 1 28.6%
Sultai Ultimatum 1 28.6%
Mono-Blue Spirits 1 0.0%
Simic Turns 1 0.0%

Standard Decklists: X-1 or Better



Historic Decklists: X-1 or Better

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