(Win rate data and analysis contributed by Frank Karsten.)
250 players brought decks at the Strixhaven Championship, showing off both the best decks of a balanced Standard and Historic Anthology 5 fueled Historic. The Top 8 is playing out now, and tells the story of the rise of blue-red and a dominant color duo.
In Standard, Sultai Ultimatum was the most popular deck entering the tournament, while Jund Sacrifice led the field in Historic, but players not on those decks came with a plan to defeat them. Were they successful? Here's what the numbers tell us.
Standard
The surprise rise of Jeskai Mutate, played by a range of players including a duo in the Top 8 (Matti Kuisma and David Inglis) carried an impressive 60% win rate for the metagame, but the real story is how even Standard is overall. There's no "one best deck" in Standard, and among popular decks they each performed similarly.
Here's the complete breakdown of non-mirror match win rates for Standard archetypes at the Strixhaven Championship. (Win rates are from non-mirror, non-bye matches.)
| Archetype | Count | Win Rate |
| Sultai Ultimatum | 53 | 47.4% |
| Izzet Dragons | 41 | 52.3% |
| Naya Adventures | 23 | 53.4% |
| Gruul Adventures | 17 | 52.2% |
| Cycling | 17 | 48.8% |
| Dimir Rogues | 17 | 47.9% |
| Mono-White Aggro | 16 | 45.1% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 16 | 41.6% |
| Jeskai Mutate | 15 | 60.7% |
| Temur Adventures | 9 | 58.0% |
| Mardu Sacrifice | 4 | 50.0% |
| Mono-Green Aggro | 3 | 50.0% |
| Boros Winota | 3 | 40.0% |
| Dimir Control | 3 | 28.6% |
| Sultai Control | 3 | 27.3% |
| Sultai Titans' Nest | 2 | 66.7% |
| Four-Color Blink | 2 | 62.5% |
| Rakdos Sacrifice | 2 | 50.0% |
| Azorius Blink | 2 | 43.8% |
| Rakdos Midrange | 1 | 0.0% |
| Naya Fury | 1 | 0.0% |
Historic
It's another story in Historic though. Two decks share the top picks to play for the weekend, and Jeskai Turns put on a dominant performance with a 60% non-mirror win rate overall. Between the addition of
Decks playing
| Archetype | Count | Win Rate |
| Izzet Phoenix | 88 | 52.2% |
| Jeskai Turns | 45 | 60.7% |
| Jeskai Control | 24 | 55.0% |
| Jund Food | 18 | 38.6% |
| Mono-Black Aggro | 13 | 44.3% |
| Selesnya Company | 12 | 46.2% |
| Gruul Aggro | 11 | 30.8% |
| Five-color Niv-Mizzet | 5 | 54.8% |
| Azorius Auras | 4 | 50.0% |
| Dragonstorm | 4 | 45.0% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 2 | 57.1% |
| Grixis Control | 2 | 50.0% |
| Elves | 2 | 50.0% |
| Dimir Pact | 2 | 50.0% |
| Boros Midrange | 2 | 16.7% |
| Dimir Rogues | 2 | 16.7% |
| Temur Marvel | 1 | 71.4% |
| Temur Ramp | 1 | 71.4% |
| Dimir Control | 1 | 57.1% |
| Orzhov Auras | 1 | 33.3% |
| Boros Magecraft | 1 | 33.3% |
| Colorless Ramp | 1 | 33.3% |
| Atarka Red | 1 | 33.3% |
| Neostorm | 1 | 33.3% |
| Azorius Control | 1 | 33.3% |
| Orzhov Shadow | 1 | 28.6% |
| Temur Turns | 1 | 28.6% |
| Sultai Ultimatum | 1 | 28.6% |
| Mono-Blue Spirits | 1 | 0.0% |
| Simic Turns | 1 | 0.0% |
Standard Decklists: X-1 or Better
